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Analytical Red Flags for Not-for-Profit Hospitals

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An HFMA Healthcare Financial Pulse Resource

Moody's Investors Service has identified the following list of warning signs that would likely trigger a rating review, regardless of an organization's rating category.

  • Decline in total operating revenue (same-store basis)
  • Thirty percent decline in operating cash flow
  • Greater notional amount of swaps than debt
  • Days in account receivables rise to 100 and sustained at this level for two consecutive years
  • Failure to deliver audit six months after the fiscal year end; tardy interim statements
  • Qualified audit opinion
  • Technical default under bond covenants; covenant breach in bank documents
  • Unexpected change in CFO
  • Unexpected increase in debt (20 percent or more)
  • Investment allocation with more than 10 percent in one fund
  • More than 70 percent of debt is variable rate (before swaps)
  • Unusually high investment returns
  • Pension liability funded at less than 80 percent
  • Bank bonds with short pay outs or auction-rate debt with high rates

Return to the "Improving Your Hospital Credit Rating" article.

Source: Goldstein, L, et al., Not-for-Profit Healthcare Rating Roadmap: Hospitals Under Stress, but Strong Management and Federal Stimulus May Mitigate Risks, Moody’s U.S. Public Finance, April 2009. Reprinted with permission.

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